Trump, Youtube, & Pre-Election Polling

US News Roundup 21/10/2018


YouTube crashed for about an hour this week, and that was honestly the most interesting thing to happen in the US this week. In addition, we can talk polling for the election two weeks out and Trump withdrawing from a nuclear treaty with Russia.

There has still been no explanation for the outage that took Youtube offline for about an hour this Tuesday. Google stocks took a hard hit, dropping from nearly $1,146 to $1,120 just after open Wednesday, and bottoming out at $1,088 Thursday before closing at $1,105 Friday. A hacker group by the name “Project Zorgo” took responsibility, but YouTube has yet to address these claims. Instead, they seem to be dismissing it all as technical difficulties, although there is another change that came with it. While that answer may be insignificant, it’s unlikely we’ll hear more from YouTube until the problem is fully resolved.

Trump said Saturday that he will pull out of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, or INF, with Russia. The 31-year-old treaty barred the US and Russia from possessing, producing, or testing a ground missile with a range between 300 and 3,400 miles, but the President claimed the Russians had violated the treaty, without providing specifics. Trump said he would like to either develop the prohibited weapons or enter a new deal with China and Russia. So, this could go really well, or really poorly.

The election is 16 days away, and while the House hangs in the balance, the Senate likely does not. Republicans got great news in the Senate polls this week, with Jeff Flake’s seat seeing Republican Martha McSally leading her Democrat opponent 48-46 in a NY Times/Siena poll, sitting Democrat Bill Nelson trailing 49-47 in a St. Pete Poll to Governor Rick Scott in Florida, and vulnerable Republican Dean Heller leading his race 48-41 according to an Emerson poll. Cruz was up 52-45 in a CNN poll over Beto O’Rourke in a race seeming more and more out of reach (despite O’Rourke’s historic fundraising haul), while New Jersey Democrat Bob Menendez was up 7 points in two different polls this week, showing he will likely survive his ethics scandals. Indiana’s Joe Donnelly lead in a Gravis poll 44-40 over Republican businessman Mike Braun, but Libertarian Lucy Brenton had 7 points, which has been her polling average. She will be competing with Gary Johnson for the highest percentage by a statewide LP candidate in a 3-way, top-of-ticket race. Democrat Phil Bredesen scored a victory this week, polling 44-43 over Marsha Blackburn in the race for retiring Bob Corker’s seat. He still trails by 6.5 points in the RealClearPolitics average.

All-in-all, it was a pretty boring week. Get ready for October surprises as the election draws closer. Specifically, Trump is due to release his marijuana and criminal justice reform package any day, which would give Republicans a huge boost nationwide. Other than that, no news is almost certainly good news from Washington, so I wouldn’t mind if we kept that trend.

You can read more from Ian Scar on Think Liberty here.


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